36,000 Lives Could Have Been Saved By an Earlier Lockdown

The first reports of COVID-19 spreading from China began to trickle into the news cycle in January 2020. By the end of February, communities were dealing with a spreading virus that could claim lives with remarkable efficiency.

First Italy, then Spain, and eventually, the United States saw the pain that the new coronavirus could cause. Government officials issued lockdown orders, stay-at-home requests, and shuttered businesses.

After a few months of reflecting on these actions, it is clear that having an earlier lockdown could have saved tens of thousands of lives.

Science Counters the Bluster of Politicians

We know that healthy people under the age of 45 have the best chance to beat a severe case of COVID-19.

Although there is no cure or preventative measure that can stop a coronavirus infection, you can take care of yourself each day to stay healthy.

Getting some exercise, eating better foods, and having enough sleep at night are critical ingredients in the recipe for making a healthier you. Some people may want to consider products from brands like Douglas Laboratories, Integrative Therapeutics, or Pure Encapsulation as a way to enhance the effectiveness of those decisions.

Science also suggests that thousands of people could have been saved if a lockdown happened on March 1.

Donald Trump says that this information is a “political hit job.” The data is consistent. If people had started staying at home two weeks sooner, fewer people would have died from COVID-19.

Why Would Have an Earlier Lockdown Helped?

An earlier lockdown in the United States would have started limiting social contacts with others. By keeping people at home or limiting interactions in essential jobs, the virus would not have the same opportunities to multiply.

The first reports of coronavirus infections in the United States with community spread happened in Washington State at an elder-care facility. Dozens of people got COVID-19, with many high-risk individuals unfortunately succumbing to the disease.

Washington was one of the first states to order people to be at home. That action helped the area go from being the leader of reported infections and deaths to a place with one of the lowest rates.

We can only use conjecture and computer modeling to get an answer regarding the helpfulness of an earlier lockdown. If we could go back in time, maybe we’d make different choices. As for today, we must continue moving forward with caution to limit how COVID-19 impacts our lives. 

What Is the Best Way to Present Statistical Evidence?

When presenting statistical evidence, any original work answers a question about what was found during the effort. This process creates an outlined paper where all of the processes and procedures used to develop the facts get described for the reader. It is a method that enables peer review because it publishes the steps needed to duplicate the effort.

The results section of original research also requires the author to choose what is worth presenting. Once that decision gets reached, the information must get conveyed using a combination of graphics, tables, and text. Since the level of detail is based on the target audience and the publication standards of the journal used, the final method of presentation is highly individualized.

Rules for Presenting Statistical Evidence

1. Keep the information as simple as possible. Authors who immerse themselves in statistical evidence sometimes forget that readers may not understand their presentation. When too much data is part of the process, then the data can get somewhat clouded.

2. The statistical evidence should answer the research questions asked by the research.

3. Once you start with the general information, it is suitable to get more specific as you delve into more of the details of your finding. The statistical evidence should follow after the response rate, description of the participants, and the key findings.

4. Do not include information about the processes of data collection in the introduction. It should stay in the methods section because the statistical evidence is proof of discovery. Having the info in other places can distract people from the findings you want to present, 

5. Use the past tense when describing the results as determined by the statistical evidence. If you use the present or future tense when talking about the work performed, then it can discredit the work because it feels more like an opinion than a fact to the reader.

6. Avoid redundant information whenever possible. Don’t repeat results within multiple figures, tables, and text. Any graphics used with the statistical evidence should be self-explanatory for the average person. Your title, columns, rows, and footnotes can fill in whatever missing pieces you have.
Statistical evidence can be a powerful way to provide proof-of-concept information. Following these general rules can get your presentation off to a strong start. Then make sure the data you share can get peer-reviewed so that your findings have validity.

95,000 People Stranded at Sea Because of Coronavirus

The stories of COVID-19 spreading on cruise ships created scary circumstances for vacationers and crew members during the early days of infection in late February and March. Although the issues were slowly resolving by mid-April, 95,000 people were still stranded at sea in American waters because of the coronavirus.

Over 100 vessels were stuck without a port, forcing crews to stay at sea while passengers entered a 14-day stay in quarantine. Florida has 35 cruise ships and 35,000 people waiting for permission to disembark alone. Although the Coast Guard said that the agency would do its best to treat people during an emergency, an expectation that the cruise lines establish self-sufficiency protocols was also required.

How a Fun Vacation Turns Into a Nightmare

Some cruise ships spent over a month at sea because ports refused to accept passengers without prior testing. At one point, even the Panama Canal stopped taking boats through the passage.

Even when people were allowed to come back, it was still difficult for individuals to make it home. The CDC recommends that anyone who was on a cruise line should not share transportation with others who were not on the vessel. Commercial flights were forbidden. That means staying at a designated center or driving home.

Princess Cruises said that all crew on their fleet had to stay on board until a repatriation plan could get initiated. Traces of the coronavirus were found in cabins for up to 17 days after no one was on board, indicating how dangerous COVID-19 can be.

Cruises Are Now Suspended for Six Months or More

The world’s cruise ship providers have all suspended sailings for a significant time. Carnival has stopped all vessels through at least October except for Breeze, Dream, Elation, Freedom, Horizon, Magic, Sensation, and Vista. Those are currently scheduled to return at the end of July 2020.

Ports in Seattle and San Francisco report that some providers have canceled cruises for the remainder of the year.

Most providers are giving customers a future cruise credit of 125% if they transfer their booking to a new date. If you had a vacation planned, then a 100% refund of the amount paid is also possible.

It may be a while before the world is in a place where cruise ships can sail once again. The first step is going to be repatriating the tens of thousands of people stuck off of the American coast.

Minus $37.63: How Oil Prices Fell Below Zero

Crude oil works on the market principles of supply and demand. When people want more of it, then scarcity drives the price of a barrel upward. If there is more product than what is necessary, then the cost goes down.

Because stay-at-home orders are keeping people out of the workforce and eliminating the need to drive, demand for American oil crashed in March and April. Those events caused the price for U.S. crude to fall into negative territory. It is the first time in history that this event happened.

The price in late April reached ($37.63) – the parentheses indicate that the number is negative. That means if you want a barrel of oil, someone will pay you that amount.

The Issue Involved the Futures Market

When traders start operating in the crude oil market, one of the most lucrative options is to purchase futures.

Most people can make money by storing crude to sell it at a higher price on this market. What made the circumstances different for the May 2020 contracts in April was a desire to avoid any physical deliveries of this commodity. That means they started trying to sell out of their positions, creating a negative price.

Consumers benefit from this outcome because it lowers the price of fuel. AAA reported that the average price for gasoline in the United States was $1.81 per gallon.

It is a short-term gain because the negative territory and low retail pricing make it a challenge to support jobs. Ongoing problems with trading, even when it is at $24 per barrel on other markets not involving futures, create even more issues to consider.

Is Negative Oil Pricing a Doomsday Scenario?

After the futures market experienced such a historic low, industry analysts predicted that shut-in wells and bankruptcies would soon follow.

When the June contracts come due, a similar situation may happen. People are likely to pay to get rid of the oil they have deals for, but can’t take once again unless more global openings occur. It may take 3-6 months before this issue stabilities.

The long-term potential for oil and natural gas is strong since Americans and the rest of the world need a vast amount of energy to recover economically. We need to get past the issues with COVID-19 before that becomes possible – and there isn’t a timetable for the virus since an effective treatment plan is still not available for the general population.

4.5 Million Confirmed Cases of Coronavirus

COVID-19 is an illness caused by a coronavirus named SARS-CoV-2. What makes it such a devastating infection is the multiple ways that it can impact the body. Some people experience zero symptoms, while others might have shortness of breath, a fever, vomiting, loss of smell or taste, and blood clotting issues.

Some people may become infectious to others up to five days before they start experiencing the physical symptoms of COVID-19. That’s why it continues to spread in ways that are much different than previous novel coronavirus infections.

It is thought to infect through respiratory droplets produced by sneezing or coughing. When those small moisture bubbles get inhaled, then it begins the development process. It may be possible to acquire the virus by touching an infected surface, then placing the skin in the vicinity of the nose, eyes, or mouth could spread it.

As of this writing, global confirmed cases of Covid-19 reached more than 4.5 million. However, since many people are asymptomatic and do not show as symptoms, that number could be much higher.

How to Defeat COVID-19

The best way to defeat the new coronavirus is to avoid infection. That means staying away from crowds, washing your hands frequently with soap and water for at least 20 seconds, and avoiding touching the face without sanitizing the skin first.

Early studies suggested that not taking ibuprofen or naproxen could reduce the risk of experiencing severe symptoms. Anyone taking medication for high blood pressure should continue doing so unless a healthcare provider says otherwise.

Then get some exercise every day while maintaining social distancing of at least six feet. Having a well-rounded diet with the vitamins, minerals, and nutrients your body requires can give your immune system the support it needs.

If you don’t get everything needed for your health, then brands like Apricot Power, Metagenics, and Premier Research Labs can help you to fill in the missing pieces of the puzzle.

How Long Does a COVID-19 Infection Last?

The unwanted symptoms of COVID-19 can appear in as little as two days. It can also be up to 14 days before someone experiences a fever, shortness of breath, headaches, muscle aches, conjunctivitis, or any of the other signs the coronavirus is present.

People with mild cases of COVID-19 typically recover in 7-14 days after experiencing the first symptoms. The more severe infections can take six weeks or more for recovery, while at least 1% of those infected globally die from the disease.

Although the most significant impacts affect seniors and those with pre-existing conditions, a post-infection inflation syndrome can put the health of children at risk. That’s why avoiding this virus whenever possible is the best option.

FCC Approves One Million SpaceX Satellite Linkups

SpaceX received government approval to deploy one million user terminals in the United States to access its satellite broadband constellation dubbed Starlink.

The Elon Musk-headed company asked the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) for the license to take this action in February 2019. Approval of the request came a year later through the publication of a public notice. It is blanket permission for the operation of fixed-earth stations for 15 years to communicate with the satellite system.

Musk describes the technology as something that looks like a UFO on a stick. The actuators on the stations point themselves in the correct direction to ensure high-speed communications are always possible.

Although this figure only covers a small portion of American homes, Musk isn’t trying to saturate the marketplace with this technology immediately. The goal of Starlink is to offer high-speed Internet solutions to the 4% of rural homes that have zero connectivity right now because of their location.

SpaceX Has Over 350 Satellites in Orbit Right Now

The FCC already approved for SpaceX to launch almost 12,000 satellites into orbit for the Starlink system. About 350 of them have launched so far, capable of delivering latencies of less than 20ms from its low-Earth orbital position. The service is expected to be available to some parts of the United States this year.

It will take several years for Musk and SpaceX to launch the entire system. The company is getting about 60 satellites into orbit each month.

Mobile devices are currently the primary method that people use to access the internet. That’s the reason why cities aren’t expected to be the primary customers for SpaceX with this new system.

It is the homes that don’t have access to fiber or cable connections. Although Internet saturation rates are high in the United States, the 4% of homes that are the most rural are still relying on outdated dial-up connections based on landline installations. This fact applies to the developing world, especially in places where little infrastructure exists. 

As Starlink continues to press forward with its plans, the competition may be giving up. OneWeb is one of the primary disrupters in this unique business space, and the company is considering a bankruptcy filing because of delays to the launch schedule.
A price for the new Starlink service is not official as of yet, but it is expected to cost at least $80 per month once launched.

Arizona Economy Facts: 350,000 New Jobs Added Since 2015

Arizona’s economy was one of the strongest in the United States before the coronavirus shutdown occurred. Over 300 people per day were moving to the state, allowing for the creation of 350,000 new jobs since 2015.


About 70,000 new jobs were expected in the state in 2020 before COVID-19. If the economy can right itself by the end of the summer, that forecasted figure could still be reachable.

That means there’s one question to ask about the economy right now: how does Arizona open for new business when the threat of the coronavirus eventually disappears?

Every Arizona County Has at Least 1 COVID-19 Case

Because an economy as robust as today’s has never been artificially closed in human history, moving forward is more of a guessing game than a fact-based approach.

The good news for Arizona is that there is still plenty of strength found in multiple industrial sectors after the COVID-19 emergency. We can begin the road to recovery by implementing two ideas right away.

Arizona’s government needs to work with the federal government to suspend all bankruptcy procedures temporarily. That step would eliminate the transfer of assets to secured creditors. France has already taken this step by doubling the time a business cannot pay its obligations to the bankruptcy filing.

Then the state must design a restart procedure that meets local needs. That means creditors will likely need to write off a portion of the debt from this time. No amount of restructuring will be useful for companies that have been paying salaries without having any revenues coming in from customers.

Some businesses won’t open right away after the lockdown ends because the process needs to be slow and steady to support the economy. Those owners also need help.

What Can People Do Right Now?

The best thing that Arizonans can do right now is to support local businesses whenever possible Continue to follow your usual spending patterns by getting curbside pickup at restaurants, ordering pizzas, and shopping online from local outlets.

When the economy reopens, go out to these companies immediately to spend some money. Don’t go into debt with this process, but please do consider a more significant transaction.

Then be patient with people. Some businesses are going to go bankrupt, but that doesn’t mean the owners are going to disappear. There are always new ideas to pursue.

We are going to talk about this time in our lives for generations. How we respond in the aftermath will determine if it becomes a positive experience. 

Use These Data Collection Tools for Accuracy in Research

The underlying need for data collection tools in research is for the capture of high-quality evidence that provides answers to posed questions.

Proper data management techniques can determine the quality of the information and data available to make it more comfortable to reach an informed decision.

These data collection tools in research work in product, opinion-based, and academic categories to grab the details needed for a successful outcome.

List of the Best Data Collection Tools in Research

Interviews

Face-to-face conversations can yield relevant information quickly to satisfy research purposes. You can use unstructured, semi-structured, or structured approaches to generate the data needed. 

Questionnaires

This instrument enables data collection from individuals in remote locations. It takes a group-based approach by comparing the information collected to other responses to recognize potential trends. Three question types are used for this effort: open-ended, scaled, and fixed-alternative. 

Reporting

Data reporting is the method of gathering information to submit it for further analysis. It is only effective when the individuals offering the info provide accurate results. It is not unusual for this data collection tool in research to suffer from exaggeration.

Existing Data

Another tool to consider using is the introduction of new questions to existing information. You can add a new instrument to the studying effort even though the initial collection efforts didn’t consider the questions as relevant. This method generates accurate results that are easily accessible.

Observation

Information becomes an observable phenomenon when using this data collection tool in research. You can be a complete observer, a participant who observes, or an observer who participates in collecting info for a project. Although some processes don’t benefit from this process, the information gathered comes from a universally-accepted practice.

Focus Groups

This tool uses small groups and interviews, questionnaires, and reporting to create another layer of useful information. People can build on top of each answer given to an administrator to discover new ideas that they wouldn’t have considered when using other options. The skill of the facilitator will dictate the quality of the info gathered because one loud voice can drown out the rest of them.

When you need to make decisions or prove an idea, then information is your best avenue to a successful conclusion. These data collection tools in research can help you find the outcome you require.

India Lockdowns Involve 1.3 Billion People Over Coronavirus

India imposed a nationwide lockdown over the coronavirus. The world’s largest effort to contain COVID-19 became a stay-at-home order for 1.3 billion people. 

The goal of this effort was to stop the spread of the coronavirus, but it had an unintended outcome. All of the markets, shops, and factories shut down with the order to suspend everything. That meant pollution levels dropped dramatically in every city, especially for the harmful PM2.5 that contributes to thousands of deaths each year.

India has 21 of the 30 most polluted cities in the world. NO2 levels dropped dramatically after the announcement of the lockdown.

Why Are the Lower Pollution Levels Important?

Imagine that you fill your body with junk food and pre-processed foods instead of products from brands like Dr. Mercola, Metagenics, and Standard Process.

You can still have the energy to get through your day, but it will not be the same outcome when compared to a lifestyle with the correct nutritional content.

When you breathe nitrogen dioxide in high quantities while putting the particulate matter into your lungs, then your quality of life goes down. This pollution can even lower your life expectancy with consistent exposure to it.

After India announced the lockdown, some cities saw a 70% drop in NO2 levels. Residents are saying that they haven’t seen skies that look so blue in the country’s cities for more than a decade.

The reduces pollution levels are the silver lining in an era when people are called to sacrifice a lot for their neighbors.

Nationwide Curfews Also Have a Positive Impact

What makes the lockdown of India unique is that 1.3 billion people are also subject to an enforced curfew. This order came out on March 22, 2020. It would result in the lowest one-day traffic pollution levels on record for the city of Delhi.

PM10 and PM2.5 pollutants experienced steep drops because of the lockdown efforts. More records continue to be set as the 21-day order stays in place to prevent the spread of COVID-19. 

Although the coronavirus has an adverse impact on health, India also has one of the highest rates of respiratory disease in the world. It was immediately apparent that protecting everyone had to be a priority. Now the government can take the lessons learned from this effort to encourage better health for everyone moving forward – including new investments for a cleaner future.

The Art of Statistics: How Data Provides New Insights

Statistics are everywhere. This data is as integral to scientists as it is to modern businesses. We are living in an era where money might be valuable, but it is information that is the currency we use.

That means a basic grasp of statistical literacy is necessary if you want the capability of separating fact from fiction. This data provides us with hard evidence of consumer behaviors and scientific truth. When we can use this information in predictive ways, it is possible to glean new insights into customer choice.

Without the art of statistics, people become bystanders.

Why Are Statistics Important Today?

Statistics are a representation of truth. When looking at big data from a business perspective, it can also unlock new opportunities to contact customers.

It’s also a way to collect information about internal performance. Statistics can let an organization see that workers are performing less work before or after the weekend, giving managers data to help them look for motivation.

Statistics also allow organizations to examine alternative scenarios. This process enables the company to look for the best possible option.

It is also possible to use statistics in market research or product development. Surveys, random sampling interviews, focus studies, and other tools are useful in this segment to gauge the response to proposed products or services.

How Do We Collect Information from Statistics?

Statistics provide useless information unless there is a baseline from which to work. There must be metrics and key performance indicators named to create the concepts and connections that the data provides.


When the infrastructure for statistics exists, then the mathematical concepts behind the information can help us to examine complex issues. Statistician David Spiegelhalter uses his book The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data to show how this approach is useful to solve complex problems.

Statistics can help to determine who the luckiest passenger on the Titanic was over a century ago. It can help us to determine if screening tests for medical conditions are useful. When we all start thinking like a mathematician, then we can use the data that gets collected every day to our benefit.

The art of statistics allows us to find incomparable insights into almost any effort or industry. It can serve as a guide for product development, provide evidence for scientific theories, and improve our lives in countless ways.

Statistics provide us with the answers to the questions that life throws at us all every day.